The Birthday Paradox

The Birthday Paradox

Vsauce2

5 лет назад

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Vsauce2
Vsauce2 - 19.12.2018 01:14

Hey I just recently passed 4 million subscribers and just wanted to thank each and every one of you!!! Now if you'll excuse me I have a cup of babies to finish drinking.

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Lexi Crutch
Lexi Crutch - 07.10.2023 13:03

How did u get so many babies👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👴🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏽👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼👶🏼

Did u see the odd one out btw?

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Alexander Fedderly
Alexander Fedderly - 06.10.2023 21:52

I'll take your word for it that the math checks out. But I have a feeling that if you actually did this experiment in real life you'd get a match less than half the time in random groups of 23 people. But then again I'm an idiot, so who knows?

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Faye Williams
Faye Williams - 06.10.2023 18:20

I went to a high school of over 3k students and I was the only one born on march 30th 😭

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MooseShower
MooseShower - 06.10.2023 10:22

Any October 30s?

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Johnny Mnemonic
Johnny Mnemonic - 06.10.2023 07:00

33,289th

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Việt Jonny
Việt Jonny - 06.10.2023 06:23

"Vsauce, Kevin here, I got 23 babies"

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metaldemonseanknels
metaldemonseanknels - 05.10.2023 22:59

Who else here was born October 26 lol

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minecraftpro88
minecraftpro88 - 05.10.2023 13:53

Babies? I thought that was popcorn

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Uncle Tony
Uncle Tony - 05.10.2023 10:59

Numbas! Numbas!! I HATES NUMBAS!!!

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MonkeShrubb
MonkeShrubb - 05.10.2023 05:42

You dont share a birthday with anyone you have ever met, are you 1 in a billion? Not necessarily, he explains that any 2 of them may have the same birthday, so if all of ur say, 128 friends have a birthday on the same day as you, the chances are 1 in 356^128, but this number is multiplicitive and not additive, so the chances are REALLY high, that ANY 2 of them may share a birthday, but that doesn’t necessarily mean YOU are one of the 2 sharing a birthday

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MonkeShrubb
MonkeShrubb - 05.10.2023 05:29

Bro was drinking babies, it will be interesting to see how he will explain this to the police later

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e-man 1
e-man 1 - 05.10.2023 02:47

I'm calling horse poo. I have 127 friends on FB. Not one matches my birthday. So according to him a mere 100 was a 99.999997% probability of a match and I know a third more than the hundred.

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Whitlock
Whitlock - 05.10.2023 01:05

Jan 30th boys

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FATALx
FATALx - 04.10.2023 20:36

ANYONE 30 DECEMBER

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Facts By Wolf
Facts By Wolf - 04.10.2023 17:26

To be fair, I am in a class of 30 students and 2 of them share my birthday.

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WuKingdom1
WuKingdom1 - 04.10.2023 01:04

Jokes on you. Most people are born in the month of September. So there's always going to be a variance. "Chance" and "Probability" are 2 different things

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HG CREATIONS
HG CREATIONS - 03.10.2023 21:22

29 Feb people crying in a corner

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04WELLYDEEP
04WELLYDEEP - 03.10.2023 10:38

August 10. I watched this whole video and learned absolutely nothing. Shit just doesn't make sense

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Husky
Husky - 03.10.2023 09:50

Why all are white?

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tacocat-_-
tacocat-_- - 03.10.2023 09:31

i aint ever been in a class where a kid has the same birthday as me explain that shi bruh. Odds of that gotta be astronomically low

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Kemal Thom
Kemal Thom - 03.10.2023 06:24

Im 14 years old Currently In 10th Grade. In my 6th grade class my English teacher asked us to play a game where we arranged the glass in order of birth days without speaking at all. With us revealing it after I found out 2 other people who shared the same birthday with me which is on the 5th of January along with 2 others in Sixth grade outside of my class. To this day I am still amazed.

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Soumya Deep Das
Soumya Deep Das - 03.10.2023 00:35

27th Jan is my birthday, hit like if it’s your’s too

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YouJustWait
YouJustWait - 03.10.2023 00:17

makes no sense

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Prabha Karan
Prabha Karan - 02.10.2023 19:34

orgy

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Mecigo
Mecigo - 02.10.2023 11:09

who has birthday on 1. february?

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Messiona
Messiona - 02.10.2023 01:25

School tells me this isn’t true because of a class of 30 no one ever had my same birthday.

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wont post videos here
wont post videos here - 01.10.2023 20:39

i am a baby and i was born in july 5th. anymore babies?

goo goo ga ga.

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Jarvis
Jarvis - 01.10.2023 14:13

Well, i shared my birthday with a girl in primary school and later with a guy in highschool, same year too. Happens more than you think.

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NEBREU ELPHFTARRRR
NEBREU ELPHFTARRRR - 01.10.2023 09:49

And for 364 babies ?

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Purple Couch
Purple Couch - 01.10.2023 09:35

I think 8 billion divided by 365 is like 22 million.

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SluggWit2Gs
SluggWit2Gs - 01.10.2023 06:48

1/29 where’s my bday twin we’re DRAGONS

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Alex
Alex - 30.09.2023 22:17

I’ve met HUNDREDS of people, and none of them share my birthday

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Fruity SkyLine
Fruity SkyLine - 30.09.2023 19:11

At the end, I wasn't expecting you to take a candle with the number 2. That is my birthday number and the month when the video was published is also my birthday. I think maybe you could try finding some math probabilities or paradox or whatever you want for those conditions to happen ! LOL !

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Zamar Adams
Zamar Adams - 30.09.2023 11:32

Anyone born on valentines day

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jws1948ja
jws1948ja - 30.09.2023 08:12

Is your shirt choking you?

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General Ludwig
General Ludwig - 29.09.2023 23:42

interesting how this also explains how real random shuffles don't "feel" as random with both video game maps and songs....

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Mohammadmasih Etefagh
Mohammadmasih Etefagh - 29.09.2023 15:29

Jessie pink guy?

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Aaron Hock
Aaron Hock - 29.09.2023 09:02

420

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Player_2
Player_2 - 29.09.2023 06:45

9/11 anyone????

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Shreyash Asane
Shreyash Asane - 28.09.2023 19:49

My birthday lies on 25th Dec, yet I have not met someone either from school/college class or office who shares the same birthday with me. Or maybe I know not many people.

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Prince Kumar
Prince Kumar - 28.09.2023 17:07

17.02.2008

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Benski
Benski - 28.09.2023 01:48

So i went intk town and got 100 answers. And only 1 day got a match, and surprisingly the one that matched, was matched 3 times

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Michael
Michael - 27.09.2023 13:20

I'm 56 born September 12 never met anyone who shared my birthday.

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Raggedy Cottage Garden
Raggedy Cottage Garden - 27.09.2023 07:46

so then the "unbirthday" math problem is the ONE KEY element to world peace? what I mean is that one culture FIGHTS with another culture because of the NAME of the PLACE they want to own and the place where "their god" is born? you know what I mean..... no one names the "temple" buddist temple UNLESS..... SOUNDS and LETTERING for their favorite place MATTERED.

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Spectacular Snakes Gaming
Spectacular Snakes Gaming - 27.09.2023 01:16

A+ for the packers

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Raggedy Cottage Garden
Raggedy Cottage Garden - 26.09.2023 17:47

I'd have to look into this more. Its interesting for those who want to calculate "water quality" and miscarriage rates in certain areas with given FACTORS. In other words, WEIGHTED stats produce more RELIABLE and ACCURATE data. C-Sections are HIGHER during certain times of the year! definitely not surrounded by major holidays? Age of the mother may have some things to do with these situations?


It would be interesting to calculate an ACCURATE family tree verses a tree which a "child created" ... meaning in a REAL woman that brings forth children (you can look up Dr. Momma Jones on OB patterns of distress)... there is a 7 moons timeline in ALL medically accurate birthdays (yes hospice babies exist) and in the mother she would NEED at least 80 days after to "restart" her system. It could be up to 6 months.... but the chances of "irish twins" are basically based on the HEALTH of the mother.

What are the chances a child shares a birthday with their biological parent? What are the chances the child shares an LMP with their biological parent (in other words the sibling of the parent would follow the MOTHER PATTERN of 7 moons and 80 days)? or vice versa? In a REAL family tree, the GAP should exist in the PARENT to their SIBLING.... in a STRESSED family... the GAPS are unusual or fake. Example LMP with parent by 1/52 weeks of year: 1st week of december LMP = virgo birthday

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Chris Wiz
Chris Wiz - 26.09.2023 11:20

I wonder how the fact that some birthdays are more common like people born in September over people born on Christmas would affect this statistic, cause some people are more than double more likely to be born on certain popular days

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