Future of Linux: A Visionary Tale from 2024

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Thanks!

DJ has turned into a science fiction writer. I am interested in what Linux will do in the next 3 months, not five years from now.

Years ago, Linux experts and users were saying that you first need to get the proper LINUX BOX, or hardware that is compatible with the Linux OS. We know that Windows will run on almost any hardware, Apple is very restricted only to certain kinds of hardware, and Linux is somewhere in between. Is that right even today?

I wonder if Linux will ever reconsider its adoption of "the Bazaar" in lieu of "the Cathedral." A cathedral-esque approach (like that of the BSDs) seems to have a more disciplined engineering approach. (The code is certainly more legible.)

It's pretty neat to realize that in my 15+ years of software dev experience, at no time was their any real debate on what to use for production systems. Especially now, it's just a given that it will be some flavor of Linux.

The future of Linux on the desktop looks like Ubuntu, Linux Mint and Zorin OS. The neck beard gatekeepers are gonna start dying off and the narcissistic arch boys are simply being ignored. This is great for Linux and the community. Will Linux have more of the desktop market in 15 years? Likely a bit more but its never gonna be "mainstream" unless we get people away from Windows early in their computer using years. Get them away from programs like Microsoft Office and Photoshop and make actual gaming a reality on the Linux desktop. Developers will have to make apps that are capable of competing with apps like final cut pro, photoshop etc. (Yeah I know all about Gimp and resolve. They aren't really options) and vendors will have to support Linux drivers. This means Linux will need to decide what package format they are going go with universally. As of now its WAY too fragmented and snaps suck nuts.

Linux still has a LONG way to go honestly.

For better or worse, I figure Linux' big break will come not so much from within, but from MS royally screwing up Windows. Every new version removes features, puts ads, invades users' privacy more and more while just becoming overall an entirely new OS than what they started with. When the friction becomes that high, people might as well just change to better ecosystem altogether.

Even though I love Lennox, it is in my world limited because there is no speech recognition program available for it, at least none that I know of.

Future? systemd Linux and BSD

Just like Unix will be replaced, Linux will eventually be replaced by other operating systems, but its technology will be passed down.

“Always uncertain the future is”
😃😃😃❤️

The people want mr micro kernel!

When is the next video on the Mixtile coming out?

To be honest i would like to pay for it if that makes it even better. Right now there are still too many problems. All of these workarounds might be possible but most people just don't want to deal with it so this will be a permanent cap for the market share.

P S. And by the way - are you related to Taylor Ware, who won a yodeling contest years ago when she was about 12 years old? 😉😁

Isn't Linux BEHIND THE TIMES with respect to user friendliness and compatibility with hardware - compared to Apple and even Windows?

It would be nice if stable/consistent API were taken more seriously so it would be easier to run old software.

We forget to mention Linux certifications are going to grow in demand

Personally I think immutable/Atomic Linux installs are the future for the majority of users especially as we gain new users. I recently started to build my own Images based off Bazzite and got to say even as an experienced user immutable systems are NOT as restrictive as they are made out to be. most certainly in the case of Fedora/Bazzite with rpm-osetree being able to install and keep update packages over the base image. The neat thing is the images build everyday and get pushed to my pc in the background with updates and to anyone else using them because apprently according to github at least a couple hundred folks are using my images/distro and I haven't even put it out their so to speak at least not by its name haha

German government is switching to Linux. More, China is trying to switch the whole country into Linux, too. Plus, market share of Linux in India is growing fast. Therefore, I can see the market share of desktop Linux could reach 10% mark in 5 years.

as of today,
- look back 10 & 15 years to see what Linux was, then try to predict 10 & 15 years using growing trend.

As a long time Unix admin, and having seen your latest videos, I decided to shave off my beard. No more..

The stock videos used do predict the future more accurately than your talk. There will be no white male developer and apparently everyone will use visual studio code.

I am thinking to challenge Windows.

I wonder what Linux will become when it'll lose Linus Torvalds. He is the main maintainer, visionnaire, and influencer. He kinda is the guy who decides what Linux becomes, what direction it goes to. So, hopefully the guys who will manage the kernel in the future will still do the job correctly and none gets corrupted, nor integrate backdoors or whatever inside the kernel. Though it's open source, we have recently seen that it can happen (thanks to xz).

Linux is good for colonizing Moon and Mars with either it's embedded OS

Wow. Very carefully worded. Impressive. Focuses all on positives without stating any flaws or names of other offerings. Even to the point of suggesting one could use Linux along side other offerings without actually saying that. Makes politicians look overall sloppy. (and they each have an army of writers for everything they say). I think that while you mention the idea of people unifying Linux helping, I think that the major players will do that enough that it really doesn't matter. There will be hobby distros with odd focus of not using this or that new thing that everyone else is using.... there are still people using OSS for sound after all. I think that X11 is about finished.... it will take another 10 or 20 years before people start asking "whats X11" though, to be honest, I am sure there are at least two people in the house now that don't know that is what they are using.... or will shortly not be using and wayland will be just as much a "whats that" even with most people using it. How many users know their machine has systemd.... or even gnome, kde, plasma, etc.? I think the fact that people don't know what these things are already says good things about Linux as an operating system. The real thing is that people do know they are using chrome or firefox.... they know the individual names of libreoffice's parts.... at least the parts they use without especially knowing they are using libreoffice. Just my observations watching the computer users in my own house. Has there really been that much of a change from the win95 style desktop? Does the desktop itself really do any more than than CDE has done? In fact if anything, the average phone or tablet has more in common with CDE... menus are going away and a big group of unrelated app icons has taken it's place

It is not fragmentation, it is diversity.

The future is unwritten but I know I will never being going to crapple or microshaft.

I think the future of Linux is going back to KISS. Slackware philosophy tied with the devs from suckless dwm

Strange that you didn't mention the move to adopt Rust in Linux. It would be interesting to contemplate how far it can lead in 5 years. Especially if paired with AI-assisted development tools facilitating development.

what linux music app will allow me to add full id3 tags to my mp3s with the ability to embed an image file for the album cover?

Great!

I do enjoy your videos but after WW3 the only OS will be sticks and rocks!

Imagine if the number of PC component manufacturers were to increase significantly, for instance, having 10 graphics card companies. Could the Linux kernel effectively handle drivers from all these manufacturers? Even Linus Torvalds has acknowledged that the current maintainers are overwhelmed and exhausted.

That sounded like a light TEDx Talk. Not technical, more like an ad for something you might enjoy but don't necessarily need to understand. It's missing the technical depth I'm used to in this channel. I get the impression that speaking impulsively without reading the prompt suits you much better.

In the scheme of things, the only paradigm shift we have experienced in the last 20 years is the smartphone. But honestly, I don't even want to guess what things will look like in 5 years, let alone 10. Even today we haven't universally realized the benefits of even what was made possible 20 year ago. We are still calling into stupid call centers that don't share data you provide with the very next representative you talk to. Numerous businesses have duplicated functionality across different systems, etc. Really only the very top tech companies really operate how they should, which is in my view the whole reason why Amazon has been able to dominate retail as just one example. There's simply not enough of us, talented IT professionals and programmers, to bring that capability to everyone.

However, intelligence is the gateway to everything really. If things progress with no significant technological roadblocks we could see a future where the "OS" is AI and the question of what "applications" you use becomes a fairly nonsensical question. What does the linux ecosystem look like when you can shove the entire ecosystem into an AI, have it rewrite everything in a new language of it's own invention? All that is scifi right now, but unlike something like FTL, we know it's possible. After all, we did all of this already with our own brains, brains that take just .3khw of power each day.

My predictions / wishlist lol:
-more usage of linux as eco environment friendly: rescuing old PCs, arm and riscV efficiency, etc
-VR things, like it or not
-immutability, like it or not lol
-projects like chatgenie shell
-cripto chenanigans
-e-ink rgb displays
-wikipedia still alive
-DJ ware returning from cryogeny
-aliens stealling templeOS

It would be nice to get past the predictive recommendations that strive to convince us they know us better than we know ourselves. AI can't learn from us if it's making assumptions based on reprogramming us. It has to exceed it's own programming just as we do.

The entire software industry is moving towards memory-safe languages like Rust, Swift, etc. I hope 5 or 10 years from now I'm not using Linux, but a Rust-based OS. I don't see a reason to build on and improve outdated technology when we can build something better with today's tooling.

Linux reconquista has already started mate 🐧

Thoughts on the stupidity surrounding the never ending infection of Linux with system-d. I hear their next target is sudo. Can't say I'm shocked considering the author of the monstrosity now works for Microsoft.

Some of the AI and Linux is already true today. Amazon, and Google's assistants such as smart speakers, hubs, etc already run on a form of Linux based firmware / software, etc. macOS is Unix, and iOS and the rest of the line has the same kernel base, so there is already AI and nix together already.

do you think unikernals will take over contianers...

STOP DREAMING. Linux is on its top. National security considerations and incident like the xz backdoor will determine the use of Linux in the future. In future only companies like IBM/Red Hate; Microsoft; Lockheed Martin and Canonical will distribute Linux in the west and e.g. Huawei will do it in China. Linux will be re-nationalized and the versions will grow apart and in different directions. Watch the whole Tik/Tok discussion, that will soon be the fate of Linux too. I doubt the Cloud, because it is already getting too expensive for smaller businesses, Cloud is great to satisfy greed (Life long rent vs. one time sale).

Interesting take. I work with small drones and the industry may move from embedded OSs, such as ChibiOS to Linux. The computational share of the kernel overhead is much lower nowadays for a given afforable low power SOC.

Any book you suggest me to understand linux.... Some books seems very old.

What are 20 things that Fedora Linux 41 Workstation can do that Windows XP SP2 could not do ??

🐧" Linux is Open Sauce. We Feed without corporate Greed. That's why we love it. Yummy😋"

Santa? Is that you?