Pros and cons of public opinion polls - Jason Robert Jaffe

I've vaguely thought that public opinion polls seem unreliable, but I never knew the reason. Now I understand what makes public opinion polls imperfect and why we still use them.

SiouxValley getting it done 🔥 good video

This video really helped me understand political public opinion polls, but I still want to know what the plus or minus after the R or D. Is that confidence level or accuracy level or what? I'll keep looking....

Raise your hand if you prefer things when panda is not expressing.

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Exactly what's wrong with 2020 election opinion polls

I was the thousandth like!

Literall have to write a 5 page paper on this. CLUTCH

Polls don't predict.

I hate when interest groups share polls on social media. They do not give us accurate information as the sample will be biased.

El otro día

I knew I shouldn't have scrolled down but I did it anyway.

People were mad at this video because the examples were American? Of course the examples were American. The video was made by an American and produced by an American company. If the video was made by a British person for a British company the examples would probably be British.

Not that it matters because you didn't need to be American to understand the examples, they were there simply to illustrate the point.

If some other country was mentioned and Americans started complaining about how they couldn't relate to the video I highly doubt you'd be sympathetic towards them.

This is such a stunning misunderstanding of polls that TedEd is practicing methodological malpractice.

Bernie is winning.

في حقيقة الأمر سبر أراء عملية استطلاعية لصورة جمهور نحو الموضوع المثير بطريقة موضوعبة ولابد من تحليل أراءهم وخاتصة النفسية منها لأنها تعكس جانب اللاشعوري للجمهور بهذا تعرف الراي العام للجمهور اما مع ام ضد ام غبر مهتم ....... اجابيا ام سلبيا ....

school

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just use metric system

You'd have to figure how many people hate opinion polls so much that they'd give such inaccurate answers, though... of course, how would one measure that demographic without using opinion polls? :)

You're forgetting about people who hate polls and just purposefully give you the opposite answer - I can't possibly be the only one that does that when polled for commercial (or electoral - same crap) stuff ... right? Knowledge is power ...

Quiet down peasant, your ignorance is showing.

prove it.

“What if there’s no such thing as public opinion, because every thinking person has opinions that are uniquely his own? What if what we call public opinion, was just a manufactured narrative that makes it easier to convince people that if their views are different, then there’s something wrong with that, or there’s something wrong with them?” Andrew Napolitano

Compared with the follow up question involving criminal activity, it does seem like a less suggestive question, but I do agree that it is indeed a leading question in itself.

Opinion polls are something that are utilized by a wide variety of democratic western societies, and the lesson explained statistical principles in an easy to understand and straight forward way. I think what Connor was getting at, was that having a state called Idaho that enjoys the potato as its official food is something that most other people from Western democracies cannot relate too, and thus narrows the audience. The content is excellent, but the examples are often culturally biased.

I just think it would be nice to appeal to a wider audience so that they can have more views. Not everyone likes American examples. I don't hate them, I would just refer others from time to time. Like the Roman TED-ED video that came up recently; four sisters in ancient Rome. That was a great vid and got 26,000 views. This gto 12,000 not because it is bad but because it did not appeal to a large amount of people like the Rome one.

I can recall watching a lecture a few days ago and I didn't even think about my country not being represented until just now. It's silly but have at it.

You live in America so like the American models. However there are a larger audience who would like to see other videos from around the world. I am sure TED would rather be worldwide rather than in just one country. That may have been the biggest in America, other countries will have had other shock opinion polls individual to their country. Is it ridiculous to express your opinion and over 140 others who watched the video?

Why should the examples matter? They're just examples. For one thing the Truman election was probably the largest shock from a public opinion poll in history and thus rightfully earned its place in this video. Out of all the ways in which we could criticize TED, the most popular is that a particular country is mentioned? It's downright ridiculous.

If you read the comment properly you would see it is advice for TED-ED. They are narrowing their audience and I want them to have a larger audience. I don't have the time to make videos as good as these. However they would have more views if it was a universal example. For example the great leaders one they made. It was a good video but all abut American great leaders. This did not relate to anyone outside of America so there was no connection. A video should connect to all to be good.

conhecemo-nos? ou é só por sermos portugueses?

You can't relate because they picked US examples? How about 1 of the >140 people who thumbed up this comment change it yourself if you're so concerned about which countries are referenced. Oh that's right, the grand majority of these TED talks are made in America by Americans. Amazes me how people could care about something so trivial.

what? redeemable vote? freepost, use on internet? I don't understand

in a lot of countries they don't actually, mostly the less developed ones and the less democratic ones.

no, it's not.

just replace "serbia" with "the whole world" or "a fictional country" and "authenticity" with "appeal" and the answer would be yes.

that sounds great, but if one is to consider your opinion then one shouldn't consider your opinion. lol

that is the 3rd problem covered in the video

yep, polls don't really help politicians pass legislation that the majority of the population will support, it helps them know what to say in public to get them elected and then pass whatever legislation they see fit; cause almost none checks what legislation their representatives effectively support, most people only base their votes on what they see and hear the politicians act and say, on media covered public appearances, especially on the higher levels of governance, like congress/presidency

Well, i'm pretty sure America doesn't listen to the people (= Make a poll "Do you want USA to record your movement, track you everywhere you go, listen to what you say without you knowing?" or "Do you want us to stop taking (robing) your money?" 99% People answer "No", but that doesn't mean America will stop doing that :)

That's down to opinion and judging by the likes, mine is more popular.

Of course your sampling method has to be reliable and valid. But even if it is, you will get such an outcome if you don't ask in a proper way.

Good graphics, worst dubbing...

4:03 and... stick it up your ass! LOl

If America wasn't the best country ever they wouldn't

I know that, but if they used America and just one other country then that's fine. I have nothing against America. All I meant by my comment was that people appeal to something more when it is universal or relates to them. Lots of the animations have been on America. Such as the good leaders one. They are all very informative and I love watching them. I love TED-ED videos. It was meant to be advice but with the amount of likes it seems like a popular opinion. Maybe they should do a poll on it.

There is a fourth problem: People not knowing enough about the issue. I've seen polls where people voted for the more expensive solution, because they just couldn't see that the proposed alternative was a lot cheaper. They stuck with what they know, out of fear that change might bring something worse. People are not always the best decision-makers. Especially when it comes to details.

But you alone are not representative. I can assure you that in a representative 1100 people sample ~75% will say "yes" although voter turnout was only 59%.