Time Series Forecasting with Machine Learning

Time Series Forecasting with Machine Learning

CodeEmporium

3 года назад

145,896 Просмотров

INVESTING
[1] Webull (You can get 3 free stocks setting up a webull account today): https://a.webull.com/8XVa1znjYxio6ESdff

TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Introduction
1:51 Defining Problem
2:50 Understanding the Data
3:18 Analyzing Data (Trend, Seasonality)
4:40 Traditional Timeseries Forecasting (ARIMA, Prophet)
6:01 Univariate & Multivariate Time series
8:15 Time series with Machine Learning
9:02 Types of Time series models
11:05 Machine Learning Vs. Traditional Time Series


REFERENCES
[1] Math behind Facebook prophet: https://medium.com/future-vision/the-math-of-prophet-46864fa9c55a
[2] Traditional time series analysis step by step: https://www.kaggle.com/freespirit08/time-series-for-beginners-with-arima
[2] Dealing with time series data: https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat510/lesson/1
[3] Catboost is slick : https://catboost.ai/docs/concepts/tutorials.html

Тэги:

#Machine_Learning #Deep_Learning #Data_Science #Artificial_Intelligence #Neural_Network
Ссылки и html тэги не поддерживаются


Комментарии:

@Arjun_Adapalli
@Arjun_Adapalli - 06.12.2023 17:46

Thank you for this video!

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@tactusxii
@tactusxii - 21.11.2023 17:33

How to build ARIMA models in Python without dates? If I'm estimating a target boats sinusoidal position in the ocean, do I wanna map milliseconds as dates 🤔, nah

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@nourinahmedeka9518
@nourinahmedeka9518 - 05.11.2023 09:37

This was awesome!

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@user-rq8uv6ir9w
@user-rq8uv6ir9w - 08.08.2023 05:51

You are awesome!! Thank you for this video

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@rajnishadhikari9280
@rajnishadhikari9280 - 17.07.2023 19:20

Do you have project with multivariate analysis?

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@frytka12345
@frytka12345 - 07.07.2023 12:09

One note: you can actually use the machine learning model (the non-traditional model as you call it in the video) to dynamically predict whatever number of future points you want, you just have to implement recursion manually. Train the model to predict one step ahead, then use that prediction to predict 2nd step and so forth. This will very likely become "hard to get right" similarly to what you said about traditional models, as it's a much more complicated problem, but it is doable.

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@RayTayek
@RayTayek - 26.04.2023 04:46

nice overview. thanks.

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@joshuabradshaw1647
@joshuabradshaw1647 - 15.03.2023 07:15

Thanks for the awesome comparison! Very insightful!

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@prometeo34
@prometeo34 - 20.02.2023 07:14

Great explanation, thanks

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@MOUNICANUTAKKIPHD
@MOUNICANUTAKKIPHD - 08.02.2023 06:32

i need a help from you regarding time series ....how can i contact u

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@BENJAMINELEKWACHI
@BENJAMINELEKWACHI - 18.12.2022 23:22

please how can i contact you

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@abhijitroy99
@abhijitroy99 - 19.09.2022 08:59

Simple explanation and very good

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@hoangphuoc3223
@hoangphuoc3223 - 24.08.2022 09:52

wow. you explain concepts very well

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@FuZZbaLLbee
@FuZZbaLLbee - 02.08.2022 09:08

If you add regressors to Prophet, doest that also make it multi variant?

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@joguns8257
@joguns8257 - 29.07.2022 16:26

Very simplified. Thank you.

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@Shoaibkhan-oj3oe
@Shoaibkhan-oj3oe - 25.07.2022 14:22

I loved this video. Such great information easily explained. Thankyou

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@muchostudios3716
@muchostudios3716 - 19.05.2022 13:55

Great

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@plenilune4975
@plenilune4975 - 11.05.2022 09:00

Super helpful! Thank you so much!

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@jasonsykes4199
@jasonsykes4199 - 30.04.2022 21:44

Don't stop making videos. You have a great teaching video.

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@sayantanghosh6714
@sayantanghosh6714 - 10.04.2022 13:38

Thank you for the useful explanations!

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@sauravdas9751
@sauravdas9751 - 04.04.2022 11:25

This video is great! I loved how you have put down the different methods so clearly and their pros and cons.

Cheers to more videos!! :)

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@vk7184
@vk7184 - 03.03.2022 14:39

Thanks a lot, very useful for me. I was wondering whether we can use time series forecasting using regression trees or not?

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@Sanjeevsachin24
@Sanjeevsachin24 - 03.03.2022 08:31

very well explined.. the issue was also looked at the business front as well.. were as the traditional IT gig would explain in the point unlike this..
it shows the understing of the business is important to adapt to these new tecnologies..

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@fullduckdev7327
@fullduckdev7327 - 17.02.2022 16:53

thanks. very informative!

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@neckreth
@neckreth - 15.01.2022 00:31

annoying super American voice

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@danielhorn9691
@danielhorn9691 - 14.01.2022 17:05

SARIMAX is multivariate

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@abhishekk1231
@abhishekk1231 - 14.01.2022 06:58

Loved this video...!
Thankyouuuuuu

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@muritalaadebayoisah9155
@muritalaadebayoisah9155 - 24.12.2021 14:57

So precise!!! THanks

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@ai95
@ai95 - 20.12.2021 08:56

Danke je wel!

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@sgrouge
@sgrouge - 10.11.2021 22:47

I worked hard on forex dataseries:
EURUSD tick resolution, compressed with wavelets, passed into LSTM under keras.
Got 73% accuracy on the next minute: not bad for experimental results?
What gives me headaches:
- do I always need to make the timeseries *stationary*?
- How to scale perfectly my timeseries, according to what model im going to use (lstm, mlp, sklearn regressor...)?
- Do I have to use stateless or stateful lstm???
- Does it have soem sense to shuffle sequenses before training lstm?
I could not find clear answer anywhere on the net...

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@vincentguttmann2231
@vincentguttmann2231 - 19.10.2021 11:49

I was looking for an introduction to time series forecasting for a personal project (gas price prediction, since gas prices here in Germany are kinda high), and this was the perfect primer for time-series forecasting. Not too dumbed down, and not too complicated. And, obviously a GREAT example.

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@denvercabanes
@denvercabanes - 18.10.2021 09:46

I'm trying predictive sequence or whatever it's called, from 0 knowledge in programming. Will prophet be a good starting point to get my feet wet?

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@youngzproduction7498
@youngzproduction7498 - 24.09.2021 06:46

Well done!

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@rajnidahiya6097
@rajnidahiya6097 - 17.08.2021 10:32

Can we add categorical variables as explanatory variables as well or the variables should be time variant?

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@Jacen_Rockwell
@Jacen_Rockwell - 24.05.2021 16:48

I'm sure you're aware of certain psychological phenomena & "fringe theories" emerging on the surface? Some people, while not versed in the particulars, nontheless are beginning to trace the origins of said phenomena to, vectors adjacent, or even linked with our area of this continuum.

I'm trying not to use any words that would attract scrutiny but that's becoming difficult. That narcissistic zealot, blabbing about timelines & Lovecraft. who's ass we are encouraged to kiss ROWS G.D QuÆv.

I know people are getting the same threats I am...Either someone has worked out the Quasi-cosmic code, they've copied the artefact, or the אºD's are angry.

Maybe we should focus on what's important. BTW I ASSUME NO-ONES SEEING DARK RECURRING NUMBERS & SEEING DEEP LEARNING OBSERVER NOISE? ME NEITHER!

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@huzifighter9
@huzifighter9 - 13.05.2021 01:51

Hi, great video! I'm just getting into time series forecasting, and you teached me a lot, thank you :)
Could you make a video about Graph Attention Networks for time series forecasting?

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@shakirullah5840
@shakirullah5840 - 02.05.2021 21:16

Thank you so much for your nice video. -- From Bangladesh

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@chinmayeejoshi4592
@chinmayeejoshi4592 - 02.05.2021 20:04

I just want to say how much I love that it’s my grandma that has a laptop repair shop. 😍

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@myal7532
@myal7532 - 01.05.2021 09:32

Thank you for this awesome video! I'm pretty new to ML and time series and this is so helpful and clear. I'm actually working on an assessment for a Data Analyst role that I'm interviewing for and I'm tasked with forecasting travel bookings. Glad I came across your video and excited to check out your other ones!

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@jmoz
@jmoz - 19.04.2021 20:15

You can make up any term and I wouldn’t know if it was real or fake. Dog apostle maxer.

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@connectrRomania
@connectrRomania - 08.04.2021 14:38

thank you

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@parakhchaudhary7479
@parakhchaudhary7479 - 02.04.2021 21:18

This is a seriously great introduction!

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@DistortedV12
@DistortedV12 - 02.03.2021 01:57

This is still rather opaque..for certain classes of machine learning models it seems like the data assumption is i.i.d correct? Such that datapoints farther in the time horizon will be treated exactly the same as datapoints closer to the time horizon; maybe I am not understanding.

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@AbdulWahab-cy9ib
@AbdulWahab-cy9ib - 16.02.2021 19:57

Why can't we extend the machine learning model which predicts for next day to the 3days or 10days by simply using 1 feature which keeps track of the previous day? I can't see why can't we extend.

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@cipshadow
@cipshadow - 04.02.2021 12:23

Great video! What is it that makes Prophet NOT a machine learning model? I would have thought all the models that learn from the past can be classified as machine learning.

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@tony7682
@tony7682 - 04.02.2021 03:51

Please correct if wrong: Traditional time series models are not necessarily recursive: MA, IMA models are not regressive

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@yasserothman4023
@yasserothman4023 - 25.01.2021 00:24

What about linear regression moving average and autoregression and Taylor series methods ? Why they weren't discussed

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@aniruddhadatta925
@aniruddhadatta925 - 22.01.2021 16:35

Well I know Reinforcement learning is being used to model financial time series control aka the stock market but can we track back and make a simple forecasting model with Reinforcement learning in which the actions dont really have nothing to do other than predictions

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@nikhildoye9671
@nikhildoye9671 - 22.01.2021 11:07

Hey, nice work. For the next video, can you implement a Temporal convolutional network for time series forecasting(Load Forecasting)?

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